Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.001553 0.001651 0.001752 0.001864 0.001985 0.002112 0.002255
2025-02-02 0.001438 0.001580 0.001732 0.001908 0.002108 0.002326 0.002586
2025-02-09 0.001353 0.001524 0.001713 0.001939 0.002204 0.002505 0.002876
2025-02-16 0.001318 0.001516 0.001741 0.002018 0.002352 0.002744 0.003244
2025-02-23 0.001249 0.001461 0.001708 0.002018 0.002401 0.002864 0.003470
2025-03-02 0.001161 0.001377 0.001632 0.001960 0.002373 0.002882 0.003566
2025-03-09 0.001093 0.001313 0.001577 0.001921 0.002363 0.002920 0.003686
2025-03-16 0.001050 0.001276 0.001551 0.001917 0.002396 0.003011 0.003876
2025-03-23 0.001002 0.001231 0.001514 0.001895 0.002401 0.003064 0.004016
2025-03-30 0.000964 0.001196 0.001487 0.001883 0.002420 0.003134 0.004180
2025-04-06 0.000924 0.001156 0.001450 0.001857 0.002416 0.003172 0.004300
2025-04-13 0.000884 0.001115 0.001412 0.001827 0.002403 0.003196 0.004400
2025-04-20 0.000825 0.001050 0.001342 0.001754 0.002336 0.003149 0.004407
2025-04-27 0.000814 0.001048 0.001356 0.001799 0.002437 0.003347 0.004793
2025-05-04 0.000798 0.001039 0.001360 0.001829 0.002517 0.003518 0.005151
2025-05-11 0.000799 0.001052 0.001394 0.001903 0.002664 0.003798 0.005698
2025-05-18 0.000775 0.001029 0.001377 0.001902 0.002700 0.003910 0.005983
2025-05-25 0.000735 0.000983 0.001326 0.001848 0.002650 0.003886 0.006039
2025-06-01 0.000704 0.000948 0.001288 0.001812 0.002627 0.003901 0.006161
2025-06-08 0.000685 0.000929 0.001273 0.001808 0.002654 0.003997 0.006427
2025-06-15 0.000661 0.000903 0.001247 0.001788 0.002652 0.004044 0.006611
2025-06-22 0.000642 0.000883 0.001228 0.001777 0.002665 0.004118 0.006847
2025-06-29 0.000620 0.000858 0.001202 0.001753 0.002655 0.004151 0.007008